For in depth analysis of the present news and trends see this article:
`9 Oct: America demands Hamas Military Wing disarm before any reconciliation government in Palestinian Authority peace talks.
18 Oct: Netanyahu facing indictment. Such an indictment would bring down the government forcing elections and Bibi would probably go to war.
Knesset to begin winter session on Monday 23 October 2017.
There will be no Middle East peace talks until after the Hamas Military Wing has been disarmed says the Israeli government. Since a peace must come (1Thess 5:3) meaning there will be another war which will destroy the Gaza militant organizations.
German coalition talks begin today just after voters handed Merkel a devastating defeat in the northern state of Lower Saxony. The SDP edged out the Merkel CDU 37.5 to 35% making Merkel’s talks to form a new national government that much harder.
China’s national party congress gets underway today.
17 Oct: Kurdish plan to assimilate other areas fails as Kurds evacuate Yazidi Sinjar after fleeing Turkmen Kirkuk.
Israel uses Hamas Fatah reconciliation to demand dismantling of Hamas Military Wing as precondition to peace talks.
Raqqa Syria completely liberated from Islamic State.
Elsewhere in Syria Units from the Syrian Army’s 4th Mechanized Division and Qalamoun Shield Forces of the 3rd Division led Monday’s assault on an Islamic State pocket located in East Hama near Raqqa. By nightfall, the Syrian Arab Army was in full control of this entire area, including the imperative hilltop of Tal Al-Tanahij that overlooks much of the area.
Bassam Al-Dakhil, the ISIS top commander of central Syria was killed by the Syrian air force in Quraytayn today.
16 Oct: After a few initial skirmishes Kurdish fighters flee Kirkuk city and province and Iraqi forces have now gained full control.
EU leaders including Britain join the rest of the world in reaffirming their commitment to the Iran nuclear deal. Trump has managed to isolate the United States and make America responsible for the coming war.
Likud politicians are preparing to legislate a law making a serving prime minister, i.e. Netanyahu, immune from corruption investigations, also known as the ‘French Law.’ At the same time, Bibi is ready to present the bill placing war powers in the cabinet’s hands when the Knesset resumes sitting after its summer break. Netanyahu also plans to again try to shut down the public broadcaster and told coalition leaders about the plan, the last time he tried this the government nearly fell and this may be the needed excuse to dissolve the government after the two key bills are passed.
It appears that Iranian mediation efforts have failed so far as Iraqi forces have now moved on the city of Kirkuk where heavy fighting and casualties are being reported. It will be interesting to see if the Americans abandon the Kurds and the Iraqi’s roll over the Kurdish rebellion in the Kurdistan area as well.
Israel struck a Syrian surface-to-air SA-5 missile battery 50 km east of Damascus, after Syria fired air defense missiles fire against intruding Israeli aircraft.
Iraqi forces took control of most of Kirkuk province including the important K1 airbase and oilfields located west of the city. No fighting is taking place and the Iraqi moves appear to have been agreed to by the Peshmerga as part of some type of deal mediated by Iran.
15 Oct: Islamic State fighters attacked multiple Egyptian military check points around Sheikh Zuweid in northern Sinai Sunday night, killing at least six and injuring dozens more. At least 100 armed terrorists took part with more than 34 believed killed. ISIS also fired two rockets in to Israel from the same area of Sinai.
Hamas reported that the reopening of the Rafah crossing between Egyptian Sinai and the Gaza Strip due Monday following Palestinian unity talks has been cancelled.
Austria’s conservative People’s Party (ÖVP), led by 31-year-old Sebastian Kurz, is set to win the country’s general election. His People’s party stands at 31.5 percent of Sunday’s vote, followed by the Social Democrats with 27.1 percent and the far right Freedom Party with 25.9 percent. Short of a majority, Kurz must form a coalition government and expected to choose the Freedom Party which campaigned on an anti-immigration platform.
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards Al Qods chief Gen. Qassem Soleimani arrived in Irbil Sunday, to mediate the Kurdish dispute with Baghdad over Kirkuk
US breaks agreements with Russia / Syria, allows convoy of buses to evacuate Syrian Islamic State fighters from Raqqa to Syria.
Kurds refuse to leave multi ethnic Kirkuk trying to incorporate it into a Kurdish State. Iraqi forces surround the oil center and give the Peshmerga until Monday morning to leave. No one wants a fight especially the US which is trying to mediate. One possible solution may be Kurdish evacuation of the city in exchange for Iraqi recognition of an independent Kurdistan in the Kurdish region.
Trump airs accusations against Iran and demands that Congress sanction that nation in an attempt to provoke conflict. He is succeeding in alienating Europe and most of the world as he readies for war.
Israeli defense minister to meet Russian defense minister then fly to Washington Wednesday evening for top level meetings.
12 Oct: The Feast of the Eighth Day begins at sunset this evening. See our studies on the Biblical Calendar and the Biblical Fall Festivals. A Blessed Eighth Day Feast and subsequent Sabbath day for all God’s faithful!
NASA intends to try and intercept the asteroid Didymous and change its course as it passes close to the earth. The asteroid passes close enough that if NASA makes an error the asteroid will hit the earth in 2022 with the explosive power of more than 15,600 kilotons, by way of comparison the Hiroshima bomb was a mere 15 kilotons. More than 1,800 asteroids potentially dangerous to earth have been located so far.
Hamas and Fatah have reached a deal over political reconciliation under Egyptian sponsorship, Hamas chief Ismail Haniyeh announced in a statement at dawn today. President Abbas has welcomed and confirmed the deal. See this link for an Analysis of the deal.
The Hamas Political Wing and Fatah have agreed that the administration of Gaza will be relinquished to the Palestinian Authority which will take full control by December first.
A second round of talks will take place in November to discuss the Hamas Military Wing and its arms. Watch for the Hamas Military Wing’s response to developments and the Israeli response to them. An Israeli invasion to wipe out the Gaza militants may be coming soon. See 10-11 Oct report as well.
Israel warns Hamas Military Wing of military intervention after recent incidents. Any Israeli military intervention would be designed to destroy the Hamas Military Wing and other militants is support of the Fatah and Hamas Political Wing political deal.
11 Oct: Thousands gather at the Western Wall for the [Rabbinic Calendar dated] Last Great Day [of the Feast of Tabernacles] prayers, the Feast of the Eighth Day is tomorrow by the Rabbinic Calendar and falls on Friday by God’s Scriptural Calendar.
A firefight broke out today between an Israeli patrol and Gaza militants near Kissufim. Previously the Israeli army had destroyed a Hamas observation post on Sunday night in the Gaza Strip in retaliation for a rocket that was fired from the Strip at Israel.
The friction on the Gaza border comes in the context of the Fatah – Hamas Political Wing reconciliation conferences in Cairo. Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sissi has thrown his weight behind the talks, saying last week that Palestinian reconciliation is “preparation for a just peace between Palestinian and Israeli sides;” which is being resisted by the Hamas Military Wing.
The Palestinian daily al-Quds reported on Wednesday that Egypt presented each side with 22 items for dealing with this stage of the reconciliation process, including a US-backed international [Israeli – Palestinian peace] conference in the Egyptian town of Sharm el-Sheikh, with regional countries participating.
The regional summit to kick off a genuine dialogue for regional peace is expected to be preceded by an Israeli election and a war to destroy the Hamas Military Wing escalating to demolish Hezbollah and the Iranian Revolutionary Guards.
This will be a brutal bloody conflict, but have no fear; victory is assured! Followed by a genuine regional peace, which will then be sabotaged by the Jewish Settler Movement when a Pope goes to the Temple Mount (Mat 24:25, 1 Thess 5:3, Dan 8:25).
Israel to advance approval for construction of 3,736 new illegal Jewish homes next week. Final approval is not likely to come until after new elections and this move is seen as an effort to secure the far right vote by Likud before an election call.
10 Oct: Iraqi Kurds postpone declaration of independence in favor of talks, Catalonia does the same with Spain.
Advanced Negotiations begin in Cairo between Fatah and the Hamas Political Wing to empower a new government in Gaza which can talk peace with Israel. The Hamas Military Wing is strongly opposed.
Defense Minister Lieberman said Tuesday that in a future conflict, Israel will face a unified front of Syria, Lebanon, Hezbollah, the Assad regime. The Lebanese army is no longer independent,” he added. “It has been swallowed up by Hezbollah and they are a single entity.” he said, “We used to talk about the Lebanese sector. That is gone and we must henceforth refer to the Northern Sector.” Lieberman also said that the next war will be on both Gaza and Lebanon, something I have been saying for years now.
Israel is expected to issue hundreds of illegal Jewish building permits on Palestinian lands next week to impress the far right in anticipation of an election call over the looming Trump Peace Initiative expected in Nov – Dec. The move will provoke the Hamas Military Wing.
Trump getting ready to present Mideast Peace initiative. Meanwhile “Netanyahu’s matter-of-fact report [to the Israeli cabinet] appeared designed to inform his top ministers to get ready for a diplomatic initiative that Israel’s right-wing government is unlikely to be able to accept and that Netanyahu will likely be unable to oppose,” Eldar wrote in Al-Monitor.
The USS Theodore Roosevelt, Carrier Strike Group (CSG) 9, accompanied by the USS Bunker Hill (CG 52), USS Halsey (DDG 97), USS Sampson (DDG 102) and USS Preble (DDG 88) departed October 6 for deployment to join the USS Ronald Reagan CSG in the 7th Fleet [Korea] and availability to reinforce the 5th Fleet [Iran] as needed.
9 Oct: US backed SDF launches final battle in liberation of Raqqa.
Equipped with Russian TOS-1A rocket launchers, Hezbollah is assisting Syrian forces in driving the Islamic State out of its last major stronghold in Syria, Mayadin. A heavy flamethrower type weapon with 24 launchers mounted on a Russian T-72 tank it is capable of blanketing an area of 1-2 sq. mi to totally obliterate the target areas. Propyl-nitrate and light magnesium warheads makes the TOS-1A almost as destructive as a tactical nuclear weapon.
The International Atomic Energy Commission as well as Britain and the EU have certified Iran in compliance with nuclear treaty.
The US is now placing restrictions on Russian media claiming that foreign media interfere in US affairs. Russia is threatening to place restrictions on US media in response.
Trump continues to imply coming attack on the DPRK.
US and Turkey falling out. Turkey appears to have decided to align with Russia Syria [which would include Iran] at this point. Psalm 83 tells us that Turkey will soon lead the Islamic world [except Egypt] and ally with the now rising New Federal Europe.
8 Oct: Trump comments “We are now in the calm before the storm” while surrounded by his military leaders, apparently in reference to the coming wars in the Middle East and on the DPRK and Iran
First rocket fire from Gaza in two months as the Israeli military confirmed a rocket fell in an open area in southern Israel’s Eshkol Regional Council, near the Gaza border, the rocket exploded in a nearby open area in Hof Ashkelon.
The Hamas Military Wing is adamant that it will not lay down its weapons and the rocket appears to be the beginning of attempts by the Hamas Military Wing to scupper reconciliation between the Hamas Political Wing and the Palestinian Authority and prevent a peace deal with Israel. Israel will have to eradicate the Gaza militants before a regional peace deal can be reached.
The chief of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard announced Sunday that if the United States designates the Guard as a terrorist group, it will respond in kind and consider the US Army as equivalent to the Islamic State terror group. An American move against Iran will destroy all American credibility with Europe and worldwide.
Victory in Iraq; abandoned by their leaders Islamic State fighters are surrendering in mass or fleeing for their lives. All that remains is the final mopping up of stragglers and one tiny enclave on the Syrian border.
The Russian Defense Ministry reported Saturday that new air sorties had killed 180 Islamic State fighters in the Abu Kamal vicinity in eastern Syria, The fighters were caught in the open as the fled into Syria from Iraq.
Syria moves against last remaining ISIS strongholds inside Syria.
7 Oct: US Gulf Coast evacuated ahead of Hurricane Nate expected to make landfall near New Orleans early tomorrow.
5 Oct: Sunset this evening begins 6 October, the first High Holy Day of the Biblical Feast of Tabernacles by the calendar that God gave to Moses. May all God’s Faithful have a Blessed Holy Day followed by a Blessed Weekly Sabbath on 7 October.
For information on the Biblical Calendar, Sabbath and annual Festivals; see the appropriate categories on the sidebar of our School of Biblical Studies site.
US President Donald Trump is set to announce next week that the Iranian nuclear deal signed in 2015 does not serve US national interests and that he will decertify but not withdraw from the accord. Trump will also place harsh sanctions on the Revolutionary Guards now that the Guards are no longer needed to help against the Islamic State. The move would prompt a 60-day congressional review period to consider the next steps for the United States.
Trump will use the excuse that inspectors are barred from military bases; it should be noted that the agreement does NOT permit access to military bases, meaning that Trump cannot end the agreement on that basis, hence the claim that the deal is contrary to US interests.
Iran has said that they will not renegotiate the deal. Democrats support the deal while Republicans want to end the deal and place sanctions on Iran.
Europe, the UN and Russia support the deal, and the US move will put the US on a collision course with Iran and isolate America from Europe, which will see the US as solely responsible for any conflict with Iran.
Hawija Iraq After a two-week operation to drive ISIS from its last stronghold in northern Iraq. operation’s commander, Lt. Gen. Abdel Amir Yarallah, said that Iraqi forces “liberated the whole of the center of Hawija and are continuing their advance [through the suburbs].”
Syria The Russian Defense Ministry reported Thursday that Abu Mohammad al-Julani, leader of Al-Nusra Front [Al Qaeda in Syria], has fallen into a coma following a Russian surgical strike on the terrorist group’s top commanders during a meeting in Syria’s Idlib province on Oct. 3.
4 Oct: Russia holds military and nuclear missile exercises.
3 Oct: Jason Greenblatt, President Donald Trump’s Middle East envoy, said on Twitter, with regard to the Palestinian reconciliation meeting cabinet session in Gaza on Monday. “The United States stresses that any Palestinian government must unambiguously and explicitly commit to nonviolence, recognition of the State of Israel, acceptance of previous agreements and obligations between the parties, and peaceful negotiations.” This American demand sharply divides the Hamas Political Wing from the Hamas Military Wing which will reserve the right to armed resistance.
The Islamic State claims Los Vegas attack, naming Stephen Paddock as “Abu Abdul Bar Al-Amrekini” a convert to Islam and said he had carried out surveillance of the concert arena opposite the hotel before the attack.
Netanyahu backs Greater Jerusalem Bill which would annex 19 settlements. The move is an attempt to forestall and sabotage the Trump Peace Initiative by the Israeli far right extremists.
2 Oct: Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah gave a speech in which he warned Netanyahu that he was leading Israeli’s to ‘death and destruction,’ accused Israel and the US of conspiring to derail the Iranian nuclear deal and start a regional war, and urged Jews to leave ‘occupied Palestine and warned Israel not to embark on a ‘stupid war’ with Syria or Lebanon because it won’t know how to get out.
US backed Kurdish fighters assaulting last two Islamic State positions in Raqqa City Syria.
Spate of Islamic State attacks as that organization collapses in Syria/Iraq. Islamic State faces eradication from Syria/Iraq within the month with the possibility of a few stragglers left. Terror attacks may continue for a short while as remnants exist in other areas.
Islamic State claims responsibility for an attack in which girls of 21 and 17 were stabbed to death Sunday outside the Saint Charles station in central Marseilles.
A man arrested in Edmonton, Canada, rammed a police car Sunday, stabed a police officer and ran down four pedestrians, is a Somali refugee who was given asylum in Canada.
A lone gunman, using an automatic rifle spray a concert audience of thousands, from the 32nd floor of a Los Vegas Mandalay Bay Resort and Casino. Estimates are 59 plus dead and more than 515 injured. The gunman responsible for the shooting attack has been identified as 64-year-old Stephen Paddock, a resident of Mesquite, Nevada. .
1 Oct: A Blessed fast of repentance on this day of Atonement. Today 1 October, beginning at sunset last evening, is the fast of sincere repentance called Atonement, which ends at sunset today, for more see our Calendar and Festival studies categories on the sidebar of our Biblical Studies site.